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2019 College Crosse Bracketology 9.0: Only two more games

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We are less than 12 hours away from the selection show with two conference championships left to be decided.

NCAA Football: College Football Playoff Press Conference Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Eight conference tournaments down, two to go. And we’re less than 12 hours away from the selection show.

Today, we’ll finally find out who’s in and who’s out in the NCAA Tournament with the annual selection show (9 PM, ESPNU). So with that, it’s once again time to dissect what we might see when the 17-team field is announced.

This season has been fun, exciting, weird, crazy, unusual, different, you name it. The field is wide open and the title is up for anyone to take. There might be some well-known teams, and perhaps some teams that have had good seasons, missing out once again.

If you need a refresher from yesterday, check out what the projected field looked like.

Automatic Qualifiers

There are only nine AQs, and you can thank the ACC for the odd number (please find a sixth team ASAP). If the conference champion wasn’t crowned yesterday, the highest remaining seed in the Ivy League and Patriot League takes their respective automatic qualifier.

2019 College Crosse Bracketology Automatic Qualifiers 9.0

Team Conference Record RPI SOS vs. 1-5 vs. 6-10 vs. 11-15 vs. 16-20 vs. 21+ Avg. RPI Ws Avg. RPI Ls Significant Ws Significant Ls
Team Conference Record RPI SOS vs. 1-5 vs. 6-10 vs. 11-15 vs. 16-20 vs. 21+ Avg. RPI Ws Avg. RPI Ls Significant Ws Significant Ls
Penn State Big Ten 14-1 1 8 1-1 2-0 3-0 1-0 7-0 21.64285714 3 NA Yale (3)
Penn Ivy League 10-3 5 12 1-2 0-0 1-1 1-0 7-0 33.2 5.333333333 Yale (3) Maryland (11)
Towson CAA 11-4 6 13 0-1 2-0 1-2 0-0 8-1 29.27272727 12.5 NA Cornell (12), Denver (13), UMass (21)
Georgetown Big East 13-4 15 27 0-0 0-2 1-1 1-0 11-1 40.69230769 16 Denver (13) Marquette (38)
Richmond SoCon 10-6 19 11 0-2 1-0 0-1 1-1 8-2 43.2 15.66666667 Notre Dame (9) High Point (20), Air Force (23), Mount St. Mary's (34)
Robert Morris NEC 9-7 24 19 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 9-4 46 28.71428571 NA Mount St. Mary's (34), Marquette (38), Sacred Heart (39), Canisius (54)
Marist MAAC 10-6 26 38 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-2 10-3 56.3 23.66666667 NA Bucknell (35), Detroit Mercy (48)
Lehigh Patriot League 9-7 30 22 0-1 0-1 0-1 1-0 8-4 40.88888889 22.85714286 Army West Point (16), Rutgers (22), Boston University (27) (twice) Bucknell (35), Holy Cross (36), Hofstra (44)
UMBC America East 6-8 51 51 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-2 6-6 51.66666667 36.75 Mount St. Mary's (34), Stony Brook (41), Vermont (42) UMass Lowell (59)
Data from LaxBytes from all games before 5/5

Georgetown, Richmond, Robert Morris, and...UMBC are all officially in the NCAA Tournament after being projected as out entering yesterday. Towson is off the bubble completely with the CAA AQ, while Penn State and Marist won their conference titles as the top seeds. Virginia won the ACC Championship, but as I mentioned won’t get an AQ because it’s the ACC. But they’re pretty much a lock.

At-Large Candidates

Eight more teams will be picked to join the nine qualifiers. Some blue-blood programs will be left out of the NCAA Tournament (ACC winner is italicized).

2019 College Crosse Bracketology At-Large Candidates 9.0

Team Conference Record RPI SOS vs. 1-5 vs. 6-10 vs. 11-15 vs. 16-20 vs. 21+ Avg. RPI Ws Avg. RPI Ls Significant Ws Significant Ls
Team Conference Record RPI SOS vs. 1-5 vs. 6-10 vs. 11-15 vs. 16-20 vs. 21+ Avg. RPI Ws Avg. RPI Ls Significant Ws Significant Ls
Virginia ACC 13-3 2 10 0-1 4-1 0-0 3-1 6-0 24.92307692 10.33333333 NA Duke (4), Loyola (7), High Point (20)
Yale Ivy League 12-2 3 15 1-1 0-0 2-0 0-1 9-0 31.41666667 11 Penn State (1) Penn (5), Villanova (17)
Duke ACC 11-4 4 4 2-0 3-2 1-0 1-2 4-0 22.81818182 14 Virginia (2) Notre Dame (8), Syracuse (10), North Carolina (18), High Point (20)
Loyola Patriot League 11-4 7 9 1-1 1-1 1-0 1-1 7-1 27.45454545 13.25 Virginia (2) Army West Point (16), Boston University (27)
Johns Hopkins Big Ten 8-7 8 1 0-3 0-3 2-1 1-0 5-0 23.875 5.857142857 NA Syracuse (10), Ohio State (14)
Notre Dame ACC 8-6 9 2 1-3 1-0 2-2 1-1 3-0 22.375 22.375 Duke (4) Cornell (12), Ohio State (14), Richmond (19)
Syracuse ACC 9-4 10 14 1-1 1-1 1-0 2-1 4-1 21 19 Duke (4), Johns Hopkins (8) North Carolina (18), Colgate (47)
Maryland Big Ten 11-4 11 17 1-1 0-3 1-0 3-0 6-0 26.72727273 6.5 Penn (5) NA
Cornell Ivy League 10-5 12 3 0-4 2-1 0-0 0-0 8-0 36.2 4.4 Towson (6), Notre Dame (9) NA
Denver Big East 10-5 13 16 0-1 1-1 1-1 2-1 6-1 31.7 14 Towson (6) Georgetown (15), Villanova (17), Princeton (25)
Ohio State Big Ten 8-4 14 31 0-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 6-2 28 17.75 Johns Hopkins (8), Notre Dame (9) Rutgers (22), Michigan (37)
Army West Point Patriot League 12-4 16 25 0-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 11-2 38.41666667 18.5 Loyola (7) Boston University (27), Lehigh (30)
Villanova Big East 8-7 17 7 1-2 0-0 1-3 0-0 6-2 34 17 Yale (3), Denver (13) Drexel (28), Providence (46)
North Carolina ACC 8-7 18 5 1-2 1-3 0-2 0-0 6-0 36 7.857142857 Duke (4), Syracuse (10) NA
High Point SoCon 13-3 20 30 2-0 0-0 0-0 1-1 10-2 39.38461538 38.66666667 Virginia (2), Duke (4), Richmond (19) Jacksonville (40), St. John's (57)
Data from LaxBytes from all games before 5/5

Bracketology Prediction 9.0

Before I unveil what I have, here’s everything you need to know for creating the bracket. The cliffnotes from the NCAA are below:

  • Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships
  • Won-lost record
  • Strength of schedule index [based on team’s 10 highest rated contests; (2 games against the same opponent will count as two contests)]
  • Results of the RPI
  • Record against ranked teams 1-5; 6-10; 11-15; 16-20; 21+
  • Average RPI wins (average RPI of all wins)
  • Average RPI loss (average RPI of all losses)
  • Head-to-head competition
  • Results versus common opponents
  • Significant wins and losses (wins against teams ranked higher in the RPI and losses against teams ranked lower in the RPI)
  • Location of contests
  • The committee has a travel limit guideline to no more than 400 miles for first round games
  • Any media or coaches polls do not matter

Let’s do this one more time.

Last Three In: Syracuse, Johns Hopkins, Maryland
First Three Out: Cornell, Denver, Ohio State

In terms of teams in and out, as well as the No. 8 seed, nothing has changed from yesterday. Towson and Notre Dame swap the No. 6 and No. 7 seed, while a few matchups also got moved around.

Would not be surprised if Yale gets the No. 4 seed and Penn gets the No. 5 seed if the Bulldogs beat the Quakers this afternoon.

Keep an eye out for the Patriot League title game as well. The winner will avoid the play-in game. But since we’re not making predictions of future games (outside of giving AQs to the highest remaining seed), Lehigh is currently in the play-in game.

One more thing, High Point is not getting in. Sorry.

A final Bracketology projection will be on the College Crosse Twitter account shortly after the games are done.